Connah's Quay vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CON
2 - 2
CWM
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
LLA
0 - 0
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 2
LLA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LLA
0 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
CEF
0 - 1
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
AIR
1 - 4
LLA
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |