Connah's Quay vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
CON
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
HOL
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 1
BUC
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
HOL
30%
23%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 6
COL
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |