Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-3
Connah's Quay vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
STJ
2 - 0
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
TNS
1 - 0
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
HJK
2 - 0
IFK
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
KUO
0 - 2
HJK
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
HJK
4 - 0
JJK
75%
16%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ROP
1 - 4
HJK
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
HJK
6 - 0
SEI
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |