Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County analysis

Connah's Quay Haverfordwest County
68 ELO 66
3.5% Tilt -3.9%
2172º General ELO ranking 2061º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52%
Connah's Quay
24.7%
Draw
23.3%
Haverfordwest County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
Connah's Quay
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.3%
Win probability
Haverfordwest County
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Connah's Quay
-4%
-5%
Haverfordwest County

Points and table prediction

Connah's Quay
Their league position
Haverfordwest County
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
40
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
51
51
100%
Penybont
50
50
100%
Haverfordwest County
40
40
100%
Caernarfon Town
34
34
100%
Bala Town
32
32
100%
Cardiff MU
32
32
100%
Barry Town
30
30
100%
Connah's Quay
26
26
100%
Briton Ferry
21
21
100%
Flint Town United
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Newtown
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Aberystwyth Town
12º
14
14
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Connah's Quay
Haverfordwest County
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Connah's Quay
Haverfordwest County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2024
BUC
Buckley Town
0 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
11%
18%
71%
68 43 25 0
18 Jul. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
0 - 2
NK Bravo
BRA
43%
25%
32%
69 74 5 -1
11 Jul. 2024
BRA
NK Bravo
0 - 1
Connah's Quay
CON
50%
25%
26%
68 74 6 +1
03 Jul. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
4 - 3
Flint Mountain
FMC
84%
11%
5%
68 17 51 0
28 Apr. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
2 - 1
The New Saints
TNS
35%
23%
42%
67 69 2 +1

Matches

Haverfordwest County
Haverfordwest County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2024
CAR
Carmarthen Town
0 - 5
Haverfordwest County
HAV
14%
20%
67%
65 45 20 0
27 Jul. 2024
GLO
Gloucester City
4 - 1
Haverfordwest County
HAV
12%
18%
70%
65 37 28 0
20 Jul. 2024
MER
Merthyr Town
1 - 1
Haverfordwest County
HAV
15%
20%
66%
65 43 22 0
15 Jul. 2024
YFC
Ynysygerwn
1 - 3
Haverfordwest County
HAV
6%
13%
82%
65 11 54 0
13 Jul. 2024
TRE
Trefelin
0 - 2
Haverfordwest County
HAV
10%
18%
72%
65 36 29 0