Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
10º
8º
40
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 3
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CON
4 - 3
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 17 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
35%
23%
42%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
HAV
14%
20%
67%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GLO
4 - 1
HAV
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
HAV
15%
20%
66%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
YFC
1 - 3
HAV
6%
13%
82%
|
65 | 11 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
HAV
10%
18%
72%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |