Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
TNS
3 - 0
CON
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CON
0 - 2
RHY
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LLA
5 - 0
CON
83%
11%
5%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 2
ABE
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 1
POR
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
AIR
3 - 1
HAV
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 1
LLA
27%
23%
51%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |