Connah's Quay vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CON
3 - 0
ABE
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 5
COL
21%
23%
57%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 3
GUI
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
MOL
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
GUI
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
LLA
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |