Connah's Quay vs Grange Quins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
2 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
CON
0 - 1
POR
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
AIR
2 - 2
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 2
RHY
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 6
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 2
GRA
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 5
POR
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 5
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |