Connah's Quay vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
12º
2º
24
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
ABE
63%
22%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
CON
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
TAF
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FLI
2 - 1
CAE
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
FLI
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 4
NEW
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FLI
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |