Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 0-4
Connah's Quay vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
KIL
0 - 2
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
CON
1 - 2
KIL
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 0
CON
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CLI
53%
23%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
INI
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
PAK
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
GIR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 6
PAR
8%
17%
75%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |