Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
HOL
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 2
CON
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
ABE
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
CEF
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |