Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
TNS
1 - 0
CON
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
CON
16%
25%
59%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 4
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 5
CON
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |