Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
COV
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 2
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
CEF
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 2
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |