Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
CON
5 - 1
AIR
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 4
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
ABE
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CEF
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
4 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CEF
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |