Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
CEF
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
CEF
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CEF
0 - 0
LLA
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |