Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
GOY
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
RHY
1 - 2
CON
28%
27%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 0
LLA
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
NEW
34%
25%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 3
LLA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 3
BAN
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |