Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
55%
23%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
BAN
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
PRE
55%
21%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CON
5 - 2
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 1
RHY
44%
23%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 2
CEF
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
3 - 1
PRE
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 1
AIR
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
CEF
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |