Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 3
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CON
0 - 3
AIR
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
AIR
4 - 0
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
RHY
1 - 1
CON
52%
23%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
CEF
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 4
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |