Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CON
6 - 1
BUC
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
3 - 1
CON
19%
23%
59%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 3
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CON
6 - 0
RTW
81%
12%
6%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 3
LLA
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 2
CEF
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAE
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 0
RHY
19%
20%
62%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |