Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
RHY
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 1
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CON
5 - 0
GUI
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RTW
0 - 3
CON
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
CEF
4 - 4
FLI
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 4
CEF
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CEF
6 - 1
LLA
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 0
CEF
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |