Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
CAE
63%
20%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
BAN
2 - 0
CON
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CON
3 - 1
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
RHY
4 - 2
CON
58%
22%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 2
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CEF
1 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
WEL
2 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CEF
2 - 3
LLA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEF
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
AIR
1 - 2
CEF
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |