Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
CON
3 - 2
BAN
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
CWM
3 - 3
CON
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
CEF
0 - 2
RHY
26%
24%
51%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
CEF
2 - 2
CAE
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
CAE
3 - 2
CEF
53%
23%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
CEF
2 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ABE
1 - 0
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |