Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
LLA
3 - 5
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 0
CON
31%
26%
44%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
CON
0 - 2
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CON
2 - 4
OSW
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
LID
3 - 0
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
CEF
2 - 1
CAE
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
LID
0 - 3
CEF
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 0
OSW
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 2
WEL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |