Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
12º
2º
41
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 5
CON
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
PON
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
HOL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PLL
2 - 1
CAR
7%
13%
80%
|
66 | 20 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
ABE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |