Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
2º
50
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
AIR
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 1
CON
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
TNS
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AIR
78%
16%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAR
15%
25%
60%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |