Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 4
CON
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 4
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |