Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
5º
3º
32
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 7 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FLI
2 - 1
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CON
0 - 2
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BRI
2 - 3
ABE
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
2 - 2
BRI
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ABE
1 - 6
BRI
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
HAV
5 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |