Connah's Quay vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
10º
8º
30
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
CON
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
0 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
HAV
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 3
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
FLI
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
NEW
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
BAL
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |