Connah's Quay vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 4
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CON
1 - 3
ROS
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 4
TNS
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 5
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |