Connah's Quay vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 2
CON
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
LLA
86%
10%
3%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
CON
4 - 2
PRI
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
PRI
4 - 1
CON
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 1
PEN
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 4
ABE
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 0
ABE
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |