Connah's Quay vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 3
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CON
3 - 1
LLA
16%
22%
63%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
POR
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
87%
9%
3%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 4
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 5
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAN
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
7 - 1
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
ABE
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |