Connah's Quay vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
CEF
5 - 2
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
CON
3 - 3
WEL
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
RHY
6 - 1
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 1
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
ABE
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |