Connah's Quay vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CON
2 - 2
CWM
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
WEL
0 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
ABE
0 - 2
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 3
ABE
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |