Conil vs Xerez B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LAP
5 - 0
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SRL
1 - 3
CON
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
CON
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CON
3 - 1
OVA
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Xerez B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
XRZ
3 - 1
SRL
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 0
XRZ
35%
25%
40%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
XRZ
3 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
OVA
1 - 0
XRZ
46%
27%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
XRZ
0 - 0
COR
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |