Conil vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UDT
0 - 1
CON
27%
25%
49%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
REC
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CRD
1 - 0
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
POZ
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
4 - 1
XER
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
2 - 2
UTR
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 1
CDR
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 1
UTR
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
4 - 0
CAC
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |