Conil vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
BAL
0 - 1
CON
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
CON
0 - 1
SFE
29%
28%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
CAD
4 - 0
CON
63%
22%
16%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
CON
1 - 1
UDR
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
AFC
1 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
LUC
1 - 0
SRQ
32%
27%
41%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
UTR
0 - 1
LUC
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
LUC
2 - 2
ALG
30%
28%
42%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
POZ
1 - 0
LUC
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
LUC
0 - 2
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |