Conil vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 0
CON
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
UTR
23%
25%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UDT
0 - 1
CON
27%
25%
49%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
REC
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CRD
1 - 0
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 0
XER
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 1
CDL
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 0
CDR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 2
CDL
19%
25%
56%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
CDL
44%
23%
32%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |