Conil vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
CRD
2 - 0
CON
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
ALG
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CDG
0 - 2
CON
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CON
0 - 0
XER
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LEB
1 - 1
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
CDL
2 - 3
BET
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CDA
1 - 1
CDL
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CDL
3 - 0
COR
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CEU
1 - 0
CDL
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CRD
1 - 1
CDL
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |