Conil vs Bollullos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
16º
11º
37
4º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 1
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 2
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
3 - 0
CAC
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 0
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bollullos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDL
2 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 2
ANT
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
CDR
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |