Conil vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
REC
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
CON
40%
25%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ASJ
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 4
CIS
21%
24%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
ALC
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 1
SRO
42%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
CEU
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAD
3 - 0
ALC
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |