Conil vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SRQ
0 - 0
CON
74%
18%
9%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
ASJ
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 1
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LEB
3 - 0
CON
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 1
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
ARC
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
CDO
6 - 1
ALC
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SRO
0 - 2
ALC
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 1
CDO
28%
27%
45%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +4 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
POZ
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |