Conil Cf vs Athletic Nueva Jarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UDT
2 - 1
CON
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
UDB
34%
24%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CON
3 - 1
ALG
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
CON
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
SID
38%
24%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Nueva Jarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 3
ATL
51%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SID
1 - 1
ATH
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 1
CDR
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TRE
0 - 1
ATH
59%
20%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 0
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |