Conil B vs Federico Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 3
JSA
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
26%
21%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
CON
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
CON
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UDT
1 - 2
CON
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FED
3 - 2
TOR
82%
11%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 0
FED
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FED
3 - 2
UDT
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
FED
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FED
1 - 2
UBR
71%
16%
14%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |