Conil B vs El Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SIN
0 - 1
CON
23%
24%
54%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
LOS
30%
25%
46%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CON
2 - 2
JIM
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CON
1 - 6
SID
43%
25%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
El Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ELC
3 - 2
JIM
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SID
1 - 1
ELC
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ELC
0 - 1
ESP
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAD
0 - 1
ELC
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SIN
0 - 4
ELC
23%
24%
53%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |