Conil B vs Alcalá Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
JIM
1 - 1
CON
67%
19%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ALC
3 - 2
JIM
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SID
0 - 1
ALC
59%
22%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
7 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SID
1 - 0
ALC
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDT
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |