Congo vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
CGO
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
CGO
0 - 0
PRK
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
CGO
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SWZ
0 - 3
GHA
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RSA
6 - 2
SWZ
74%
19%
7%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
3 - 0
COM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
SWZ
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |