Congo vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CGO
0 - 1
CMR
19%
27%
54%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CMR
0 - 0
CGO
66%
22%
12%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 1
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GNB
2 - 4
CGO
26%
24%
51%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 3
GHA
19%
26%
55%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ZAM
20%
25%
56%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
ZAM
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GAB
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 2
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |