Congo vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
GAB
0 - 1
CGO
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
4 - 1
LIE
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 2
GAB
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 1
MLI
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SDN
68%
20%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RWA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
ETH
0 - 1
ZAM
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BDI
3 - 2
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ANG
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |