Congo vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
GHA
3 - 1
CGO
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CGO
0 - 3
GHA
20%
27%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CGO
3 - 1
SWZ
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
CGO
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
BHR
1 - 0
SDN
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
KEN
1 - 2
SDN
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 2
SDN
19%
27%
54%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ETH
1 - 2
SDN
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SDN
3 - 0
SWZ
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |