Congo vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
MLI
4 - 2
CGO
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
CGO
19%
24%
58%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
CGO
1 - 1
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CGO
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
COD
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2008 |
YEM
1 - 1
SDN
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SDN
0 - 2
ERI
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
CMR
3 - 0
SDN
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
EGY
3 - 0
SDN
92%
7%
2%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
SDN
0 - 3
ZAM
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |