Congo vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BFA
3 - 0
CGO
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CTA
0 - 0
CGO
6%
15%
79%
|
73 | 18 | 55 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CGO
2 - 1
CTA
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 18 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
COD
3 - 0
CGO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MWI
2 - 3
CGO
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
MOZ
1 - 0
CTA
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BFA
4 - 0
MOZ
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MOZ
1 - 0
BFA
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MOZ
5 - 4
LSO
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MOZ
0 - 3
CGO
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |